UPS (United Parcel Service) Risk Assessment


UPS United Parcel Service Inc UPS
76 GF Score
Price $110.66
GF Value $128.13
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is United Parcel Service Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of United Parcel Service is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

United Parcel Service  (NYSE:UPS) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

United Parcel Service Risk Assessment Related Terms

UPS vs FDX, JBHT, FDXF: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, United Parcel Service's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

United Parcel Service Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Parcel Service's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Parcel Service's Risk Assessment falls into.


UPS
76GF Score
United Parcel Service Inc UPS
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is United Parcel Service (UPS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Parcel Service stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $110.66 is trading 13.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $128.13. GuruFocus considers United Parcel Service to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for UPS:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $128.13 vs. price of $110.66 (13.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the UPS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

United Parcel Service Business Description

Address 55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E. Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 22 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic US package operations generate around 65% of total revenue, while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding and contract logistics make up the remainder.
76GF Score

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Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$110.66
Price
$128.13
GF Value